Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 26 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.008 to 11.80.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.80 (+0.007)
- In: 11.80
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 788
- In: 728
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.72 | 7.72 | −0.004 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.66 | 14.67 | +0.004 | 2 |
| National Security | 9.05 | 9.04 | −0.004 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 11.34 | 11.36 | +0.021 | 7 |
| Information & Influence | 10.99 | 10.98 | −0.004 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.50 | 12.53 | +0.035 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 15.10 | 15.12 | +0.027 | 3 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.65 | 11.65 | −0.003 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.16 | 13.15 | −0.003 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 430, plus 728 carried in. Maintenance 348. Spent 22 on actions (partner 22). 788 carried over.
- PartnerDigital & AI Competence4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration4 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | +0.17 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.16 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.12 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Health System Capability | −0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |