Round 4 · simulation 1 · mcts-dev.dev-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2030

Round 4 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, greedy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.140 to 11.92.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.92 (+0.140)
In: 11.78
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
80
In: 62
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.818.55+0.7485
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.87+0.0085
National Security7.547.55+0.0136
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.9411.09+0.1576
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.1213.12+0.0099 → 8
Production & Innovation12.9913.15+0.1615
Trade & Investment12.7512.92+0.1656

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 359, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 251. Spent 89 on actions (buy 89). 80 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 14 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace Technologies18 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.06 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies18 credits for 1.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+1.81+1.810.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.66+1.660.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.34+1.340.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.86+0.850.000.000.00