Round 3 · simulation 1 · mcts-dev.dev-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2029

Round 3 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, greedy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.100 to 11.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.78 (+0.100)
In: 11.68
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
65
In: 41
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.277.81+0.5416 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.7910.94+0.1486
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.12+0.0379
Production & Innovation12.9712.99+0.0225
Trade & Investment12.6012.75+0.1556

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 356, plus 41 carried in. Maintenance 246. Spent 87 on actions (buy 35, partner 52). 65 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 9 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 7 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation17 credits for 1.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 7 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access17 credits for 1.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation17 credits for 1.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.91+1.820.000.00+0.08
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.45+1.450.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.38+1.380.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.550.000.000.00+0.55