Round 1 · simulation 2 · mcts-dev.dev-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2027

Round 1 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, greedy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 11.59.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.59 (+0.103)
In: 11.49
Rank by index
32
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
25
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.006.62+0.6197
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.4810.79+0.3056
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.080.0009
Production & Innovation12.8112.810.0005
Trade & Investment12.6012.600.0006

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 347. Maintenance 236. Spent 87 on actions (buy 69, partner 17). 25 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 16 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 11 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.88+1.880.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.83+1.830.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.80+1.800.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.77+1.770.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.73+0.730.000.000.00