Round 8 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 12 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.126 to 12.49.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.49 (+0.127)
In: 12.37
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
74
In: 65
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.549.75+0.2096 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.8113.84+0.0223
National Security9.439.44+0.0135
Human Capital15.1615.35+0.1871
Information & Influence12.6712.83+0.1625 → 4
Governance & Integrity12.1212.12+0.0029
Financial Strength13.3913.39+0.0039
Production & Innovation12.4112.59+0.1795
Trade & Investment12.7713.13+0.3615

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 411, plus 65 carried in. Maintenance 302. Spent 101 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 74 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.92+1.750.000.00+0.17
Economic Output & Productivity+1.13+1.120.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.81+0.790.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.79+0.790.000.000.00