Round 9 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 12 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index +0.051 to 12.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.54 (+0.051)
In: 12.49
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
80
In: 70
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.7510.05+0.3005
Strategic Infrastructure13.8413.75−0.0843
National Security9.449.33−0.1145
Human Capital15.3515.46+0.1131
Information & Influence12.8313.05+0.2244
Governance & Integrity12.1212.06−0.0639
Financial Strength13.3913.31−0.0839
Production & Innovation12.5912.54−0.0565
Trade & Investment13.1313.35+0.2225

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 421, plus 70 carried in. Maintenance 309. Spent 103 on actions (build 21, buy 62, partner 21). 80 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence21 credits for 1.68 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −6.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.72+1.770.00−0.06+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.58+1.630.00−0.05+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.51+1.570.00−0.060.00
Advanced Education+0.91+0.920.00−0.03+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.71+0.810.00−0.12+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.65+0.840.00−0.23+0.05