Round 8 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.054 to 12.09.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.09 (−0.054)
In: 12.15
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
15
In: 72
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.269.23−0.0296 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.7313.67−0.0613
National Security9.409.38−0.0185
Human Capital15.0715.16+0.0891
Information & Influence12.2912.20−0.0875
Governance & Integrity12.0511.94−0.1059
Financial Strength13.1312.89−0.2339
Production & Innovation12.0812.00−0.0745
Trade & Investment12.3212.35+0.0316 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 329, plus 72 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 15 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 2 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −12.2 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.54+1.720.00−0.39+0.22
Economic Output & Productivity+0.86+1.070.00−0.21−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.77+0.990.00−0.220.00
Advanced Education+0.53+0.710.00−0.19+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.52+0.850.00−0.330.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.51+0.760.00−0.250.00