Round 7 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.024 to 12.15.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.15 (−0.024)
In: 12.17
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
76
In: 94
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.499.26−0.2236
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.73−0.0703
National Security9.429.40−0.0265
Human Capital14.7015.07+0.3771
Information & Influence12.3712.29−0.0825
Governance & Integrity12.1512.05−0.1049
Financial Strength13.2813.13−0.1579
Production & Innovation12.0512.08+0.0236 → 5
Trade & Investment12.2712.32+0.0467 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 378, plus 94 carried in. Maintenance 291. Spent 105 on actions (build 21, buy 42, partner 42). 76 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −13.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.56+1.750.00−0.22+0.03
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.93+1.030.00−0.100.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.85+0.970.00−0.070.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.80+0.950.00−0.160.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.77+0.990.00−0.220.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.63+0.950.00−0.320.00