Round 11 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.128 to 12.37.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.37 (+0.128)
In: 12.25
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
36
In: 25
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.529.71+0.1905
Strategic Infrastructure13.6813.68+0.0053
National Security9.379.37−0.0025
Human Capital15.3515.41+0.0641
Information & Influence12.3612.51+0.1555 → 4
Governance & Integrity11.9011.900.0009
Financial Strength12.8913.02+0.1279
Production & Innovation11.9912.18+0.1845
Trade & Investment13.1613.59+0.4275

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 410, plus 25 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 101 on actions (buy 40, partner 61). 36 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.68+1.640.000.00+0.05
Economic Output & Productivity+1.08+1.070.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.85+0.870.000.00−0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.79+0.770.000.00+0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.78+0.760.000.00+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.78+0.780.000.000.00