Round 12 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.142 to 12.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.52 (+0.142)
In: 12.37
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
58
In: 34
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.7110.08+0.3715
Strategic Infrastructure13.6813.69+0.0053
National Security9.379.37+0.0045
Human Capital15.4115.56+0.1441
Information & Influence12.5112.67+0.1554
Governance & Integrity11.9011.90+0.0019
Financial Strength13.0213.12+0.0949
Production & Innovation12.1812.44+0.2625 → 4
Trade & Investment13.5913.83+0.2415

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 430, plus 34 carried in. Maintenance 305. Spent 103 on actions (buy 82, partner 21). 58 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.96 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.74+1.730.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.65+1.650.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.64+1.550.000.00+0.09
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.97+0.960.000.00+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.85+0.870.000.00−0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.79+0.770.000.00+0.02