Round 14 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.104 to 12.74.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.74 (+0.104)
In: 12.64
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
77
In: 68
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.4310.45+0.0225
Strategic Infrastructure13.7013.73+0.0313
National Security9.389.39+0.0145
Human Capital15.5815.62+0.0441
Information & Influence13.1013.26+0.1554
Governance & Integrity11.9011.90+0.0029
Financial Strength13.1313.130.0008
Production & Innovation12.4712.66+0.1904
Trade & Investment14.0814.56+0.4775 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 438, plus 68 carried in. Maintenance 319. Spent 109 on actions (build 22, buy 22, partner 66). 77 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education22 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity+1.17+1.080.000.00+0.10
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.87+0.840.000.00+0.03
Digital & Services Trade+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.82+0.810.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.72+0.720.000.000.00