Round 15 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.117 to 12.63.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.63 (−0.117)
In: 12.74
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
91
In: 74
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.4510.48+0.0225
Strategic Infrastructure13.7313.61−0.1223
National Security9.399.41+0.0175
Human Capital15.6215.70+0.0791
Information & Influence13.2613.24−0.0194 → 3
Governance & Integrity11.9011.73−0.1789
Financial Strength13.1312.59−0.5388 → 10
Production & Innovation12.6612.29−0.3684
Trade & Investment14.5614.61+0.0503 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 451, plus 74 carried in. Maintenance 324. Spent 109 on actions (build 22, buy 44, partner 44). 91 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education22 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −15.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.49+1.640.00−0.16+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.89+0.950.00−0.11+0.06
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.620.000.00−0.61−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.610.000.00−0.610.00
Economic Output & Productivity−0.610.000.00−0.66+0.05
Financial System Depth & Access−0.600.000.00−0.600.00