Round 16 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.068 to 12.56.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.56 (−0.069)
In: 12.63
Rank by index
25
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
86
In: 86
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.4810.64+0.1685
Strategic Infrastructure13.6113.32−0.2893
National Security9.419.06−0.3495
Human Capital15.7015.78+0.0771
Information & Influence13.2412.99−0.2483
Governance & Integrity11.7311.52−0.2059 → 10
Financial Strength12.5912.90+0.31410 → 8
Production & Innovation12.2912.16−0.1304
Trade & Investment14.6114.65+0.0472 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 436, plus 86 carried in. Maintenance 323. Spent 113 on actions (buy 68, partner 45). 86 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position23 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power23 credits for 1.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −15.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.64+1.620.000.00+0.02
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.52+1.670.00−0.16+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.48+1.570.00−0.17+0.08
Global Value Chain Position+0.61+0.780.00−0.170.00
Maritime Power−0.600.000.00−0.600.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.770.00−0.17−0.01