Round 18 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.172 to 12.49.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.49 (−0.173)
In: 12.66
Rank by index
25
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
92
In: 87
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.1211.08−0.0365
Strategic Infrastructure13.3913.27−0.1223
National Security9.089.08+0.0015
Human Capital15.8515.80−0.0511
Information & Influence13.0012.95−0.0483
Governance & Integrity11.5211.31−0.21310
Financial Strength12.9612.29−0.6758 → 10
Production & Innovation12.1612.05−0.1144 → 3
Trade & Investment14.8814.58−0.2943 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 442, plus 87 carried in. Maintenance 328. Spent 110 on actions (buy 66, partner 44). 92 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication22 credits for 1.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 2 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −18.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.40+1.610.00−0.20−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.09+1.500.00−0.410.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.780.000.00−0.77−0.01
Labour & Employment−0.740.000.00−0.72−0.02
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.730.000.00−0.73−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.720.000.00−0.720.00