Round 19 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.109 to 12.60.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.60 (+0.109)
In: 12.49
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
87
In: 88
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.0811.21+0.1295
Strategic Infrastructure13.2713.31+0.0393
National Security9.089.07−0.0025
Human Capital15.8015.87+0.0711
Information & Influence12.9513.10+0.1483
Governance & Integrity11.3111.34+0.03210
Financial Strength12.2912.35+0.06410 → 9
Production & Innovation12.0512.09+0.0363 → 2
Trade & Investment14.5815.05+0.4654

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 430, plus 88 carried in. Maintenance 320. Spent 111 on actions (partner 111). 87 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.43 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 1.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +9.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.43+1.410.00+0.03−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.88+0.810.00+0.03+0.05
Digital & Services Trade+0.83+0.800.00+0.030.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.81+0.790.00+0.01+0.01
Space Technologies+0.69+0.670.00+0.030.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.43+0.390.00+0.01+0.03