Round 20 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.165 to 12.76.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.76 (+0.166)
In: 12.60
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
102
In: 82
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2111.72+0.5165 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.3113.33+0.0203
National Security9.079.070.0005
Human Capital15.8715.91+0.0371
Information & Influence13.1013.38+0.2753
Governance & Integrity11.3411.37+0.03310
Financial Strength12.3512.43+0.0779 → 8
Production & Innovation12.0912.26+0.1752
Trade & Investment15.0515.40+0.3564

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 453, plus 82 carried in. Maintenance 326. Spent 108 on actions (buy 108). 102 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.55+1.510.00+0.01+0.02
Energy Technologies+1.50+1.470.00+0.03+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.42+1.350.00+0.03+0.04
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.27+1.240.00+0.030.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.07+1.010.00+0.03+0.03
Digital & Services Trade+0.84+0.800.00+0.03+0.01