Round 3 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.069 to 11.63.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.63 (+0.069)
In: 11.56
Rank by index
31
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
40
In: 25
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.878.95+0.0776
Strategic Infrastructure13.5713.56−0.0123
National Security9.359.37+0.0195
Human Capital12.2412.63+0.3896 → 4
Information & Influence11.6311.80+0.1676
Governance & Integrity11.9811.98−0.0019
Financial Strength12.8512.85−0.00310
Production & Innovation11.6911.68−0.0108
Trade & Investment11.9011.89−0.0098

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 378, plus 25 carried in. Maintenance 269. Spent 95 on actions (build 57, partner 38). 40 carried over.

  • PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.06 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 2.07 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.15+1.150.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.05+1.050.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.03+1.040.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.25+0.250.000.000.00