Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.144 to 12.90.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.90 (+0.143)
- In: 12.76
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 133
- In: 111
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.18 | 10.26 | +0.081 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.95 | 14.02 | +0.069 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.54 | 9.58 | +0.036 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.72 | 15.88 | +0.168 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.18 | 13.38 | +0.195 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.19 | 12.23 | +0.037 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.55 | 13.64 | +0.090 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.90 | 12.97 | +0.077 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.59 | 14.13 | +0.540 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 453, plus 111 carried in. Maintenance 321. Spent 112 on actions (partner 112). 133 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence22 credits for 0.74 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Education | +1.01 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.04 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.97 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.94 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.92 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.80 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |