Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index −0.077 to 11.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.54 (−0.077)
- In: 11.61
- Rank by index
- 31
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.75 | 8.75 | +0.002 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.62 | 13.52 | −0.100 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.44 | +0.018 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.06 | 13.52 | +0.457 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 11.73 | 11.49 | −0.239 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.82 | 11.68 | −0.147 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.65 | 12.46 | −0.182 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.83 | 11.61 | −0.222 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.63 | 11.35 | −0.282 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 333, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 67 on actions (buy 34, partner 34). 0 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence17 credits for 0.56 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies17 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation17 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −12.3 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.54 | +1.74 | 0.00 | −0.21 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.28 | +1.40 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.25 | +1.50 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.12 | +1.38 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.77 | +0.91 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | 0.00 |