Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.170 to 11.71.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.71 (+0.170)
- In: 11.54
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 25
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.75 | 8.79 | +0.040 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.52 | 13.56 | +0.040 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.44 | 9.45 | +0.013 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.52 | 13.95 | +0.427 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.49 | 11.78 | +0.288 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.68 | 11.73 | +0.054 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.46 | 12.60 | +0.133 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.61 | 11.87 | +0.257 | 8 → 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.35 | 11.63 | +0.274 | 8 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 375. Maintenance 266. Spent 83 on actions (buy 33, partner 50). 25 carried over.
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access17 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion17 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +8.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.62 | +1.57 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.51 | +1.46 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.15 | +1.11 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.13 | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.06 | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.01 |