Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.146 to 11.85.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.85 (+0.146)
- In: 11.71
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 57
- In: 24
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.79 | 9.00 | +0.210 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.56 | 13.60 | +0.037 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.45 | 9.46 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.95 | 14.25 | +0.301 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.78 | 11.96 | +0.177 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.73 | 11.79 | +0.054 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.60 | 12.75 | +0.153 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.87 | 11.96 | +0.091 | 6 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.63 | 11.91 | +0.282 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 398, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 272. Spent 94 on actions (build 38, buy 19, partner 38). 57 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.92 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.85 | +1.78 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.77 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.77 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.77 | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |