Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 12.00.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.00 (+0.145)
- In: 11.85
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 90
- In: 54
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.00 | 9.20 | +0.199 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.60 | 13.65 | +0.050 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.46 | 9.46 | −0.001 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.25 | 14.57 | +0.320 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.96 | 12.14 | +0.182 | 6 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.79 | 11.84 | +0.054 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.75 | 12.85 | +0.102 | 10 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.96 | 12.07 | +0.109 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.91 | 12.20 | +0.289 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 414, plus 54 carried in. Maintenance 279. Spent 100 on actions (build 40, buy 40, partner 20). 90 carried over.
- BuildGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.31 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.68 | +1.66 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.05 | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.05 | −0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.88 | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.72 | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Education | +0.52 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |