Round 9 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.130 to 12.13.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.13 (+0.130)
In: 12.00
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
107
In: 85
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.209.41+0.2155
Strategic Infrastructure13.6513.67+0.0203
National Security9.469.46+0.0065
Human Capital14.5714.64+0.0741
Information & Influence12.1412.44+0.2995
Governance & Integrity11.8411.84−0.0039
Financial Strength12.8512.87+0.0209
Production & Innovation12.0712.14+0.0795
Trade & Investment12.2012.65+0.4597

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 411, plus 85 carried in. Maintenance 286. Spent 104 on actions (build 21, buy 41, partner 41). 107 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.20 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.89+1.880.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.77+1.730.000.00+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+1.50+1.480.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.84+0.840.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.83+0.840.000.00−0.01
Advanced Education+0.71+0.700.000.00+0.01