Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.109 to 12.23.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.23 (+0.109)
- In: 12.13
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 122
- In: 101
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.41 | 9.45 | +0.036 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.67 | 13.70 | +0.037 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.46 | 9.48 | +0.013 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.64 | 14.85 | +0.213 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.44 | 12.45 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.84 | 11.83 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.87 | 12.89 | +0.017 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.14 | 12.18 | +0.038 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.65 | 13.27 | +0.618 | 7 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 415, plus 101 carried in. Maintenance 291. Spent 103 on actions (build 41, buy 21, partner 41). 122 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Leverage & Dependence21 credits for 1.34 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade21 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.96 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.89 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.88 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.87 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.84 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.83 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 |