Round 11 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.115 to 12.35.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.35 (+0.115)
In: 12.23
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
133
In: 116
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.459.54+0.0915
Strategic Infrastructure13.7013.75+0.0453
National Security9.489.49+0.0135
Human Capital14.8514.99+0.1341
Information & Influence12.4512.62+0.1665 → 4
Governance & Integrity11.8311.83−0.0029
Financial Strength12.8912.96+0.0689
Production & Innovation12.1812.22+0.0355
Trade & Investment13.2713.76+0.4845

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 415, plus 116 carried in. Maintenance 295. Spent 104 on actions (build 21, partner 83). 133 carried over.

  • PartnerQuantum Technologies21 credits for 1.37 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.90+0.890.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.90+0.880.000.00+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.89+0.870.000.00+0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.76+0.670.000.00+0.09
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.73+0.700.000.00+0.03