Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.153 to 12.50.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.50 (+0.153)
- In: 12.35
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 145
- In: 126
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.54 | 10.12 | +0.579 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.75 | 13.78 | +0.033 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.49 | 9.51 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.99 | 15.12 | +0.133 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.62 | 12.78 | +0.168 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | −0.001 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.96 | 13.03 | +0.069 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.22 | 12.48 | +0.258 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.76 | 13.88 | +0.125 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 423, plus 126 carried in. Maintenance 300. Spent 104 on actions (build 21, buy 83). 145 carried over.
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.81 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.76 | +1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.70 | +1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.67 | +1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.53 | +1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.90 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.74 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |