Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.119 to 12.73.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.73 (+0.119)
- In: 12.61
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 109
- In: 84
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.02 | 10.13 | +0.110 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.88 | 13.95 | +0.068 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.46 | 9.48 | +0.017 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.45 | 15.64 | +0.186 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.88 | 13.18 | +0.300 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.15 | 12.19 | +0.036 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.44 | 13.55 | +0.108 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.82 | 12.90 | +0.076 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.41 | 13.58 | +0.169 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 446, plus 84 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 106 on actions (build 21, buy 21, partner 63). 109 carried over.
- PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.05 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence21 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.68 | +1.66 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.98 | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.90 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.56 | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.50 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 |
| Foundational Education | +0.48 | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |