Round 11 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.164 to 12.90.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.90 (+0.165)
In: 12.73
Rank by index
22
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
125
In: 104
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.1310.41+0.2855
Strategic Infrastructure13.9514.02+0.0713
National Security9.489.49+0.0115
Human Capital15.6415.83+0.1911
Information & Influence13.1813.37+0.1924
Governance & Integrity12.1912.23+0.0389
Financial Strength13.5513.64+0.0919 → 8
Production & Innovation12.9012.98+0.0764
Trade & Investment13.5814.11+0.5275

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 454, plus 104 carried in. Maintenance 321. Spent 112 on actions (buy 22, partner 89). 125 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+2.18+2.150.00+0.03+0.01
Advanced Education+0.99+0.930.00+0.03+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.96+0.910.00+0.03+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.94+0.920.00+0.010.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.92+0.870.00+0.03+0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.89+0.850.00+0.03+0.01