Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.195 to 13.09.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.09 (+0.195)
- In: 12.90
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 137
- In: 118
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.41 | 10.66 | +0.249 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.02 | 14.09 | +0.067 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.49 | 9.51 | +0.021 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.83 | 16.00 | +0.169 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.37 | 13.55 | +0.186 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.23 | 12.27 | +0.038 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.64 | 13.72 | +0.085 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.98 | 13.28 | +0.301 | 4 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.11 | 14.75 | +0.640 | 5 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 462, plus 118 carried in. Maintenance 330. Spent 113 on actions (buy 45, partner 68). 137 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.76 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication23 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position23 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.88 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.78 | +1.62 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.10 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.97 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.92 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.85 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |