Round 13 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.166 to 13.26.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.26 (+0.166)
In: 13.09
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
141
In: 130
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.6611.27+0.6105
Strategic Infrastructure14.0914.15+0.0643
National Security9.519.53+0.0215
Human Capital16.0016.12+0.1221
Information & Influence13.5513.59+0.0333
Governance & Integrity12.2712.30+0.0399
Financial Strength13.7213.85+0.1288
Production & Innovation13.2813.35+0.0742
Trade & Investment14.7515.16+0.4062

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 470, plus 130 carried in. Maintenance 343. Spent 116 on actions (build 23, buy 69, partner 23). 141 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.68 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics23 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+2.06+1.650.00+0.03+0.38
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.83+1.800.00+0.03+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.75+1.710.00+0.03+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.85+0.800.00+0.03+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.84+0.810.00+0.03+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.84+0.800.00+0.03+0.01