Round 15 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 12.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.85 (+0.127)
In: 12.72
Rank by index
22
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
194
In: 186
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.6310.85+0.2245
Strategic Infrastructure13.8813.90+0.0233
National Security9.689.69+0.0104
Human Capital15.3415.53+0.1881
Information & Influence12.9713.21+0.2403
Governance & Integrity11.8311.84+0.0029
Financial Strength13.1613.17+0.0108
Production & Innovation12.6112.81+0.1953
Trade & Investment14.3814.63+0.2494

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 440, plus 186 carried in. Maintenance 322. Spent 110 on actions (build 22, buy 66, partner 22). 194 carried over.

  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.45 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.69+1.660.000.00+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+1.14+1.080.000.00+0.05
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.03+0.970.000.00+0.07
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.86+0.850.000.00+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.83+0.820.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.80+0.790.000.00+0.01