Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.130 to 12.98.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.98 (+0.131)
- In: 12.85
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 196
- In: 184
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.85 | 11.04 | +0.190 | 5 → 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.90 | 13.92 | +0.017 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.69 | 9.70 | +0.012 | 4 |
| Human Capital | 15.53 | 15.59 | +0.056 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.21 | 13.57 | +0.365 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.84 | 11.84 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.17 | 13.19 | +0.024 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.81 | 12.84 | +0.033 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.63 | 15.11 | +0.471 | 4 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 451, plus 184 carried in. Maintenance 329. Spent 110 on actions (buy 44, partner 66). 196 carried over.
- BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.51 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +2.04 | +2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.71 | +1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.94 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.74 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.71 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |