Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.151 to 12.13.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.13 (+0.151)
- In: 11.98
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 72
- In: 47
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.14 | 9.54 | +0.399 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.80 | 0.000 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.48 | 9.50 | +0.022 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.30 | 13.86 | +0.566 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.21 | 12.51 | +0.301 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.11 | 12.11 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.14 | 13.18 | +0.040 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.44 | 12.46 | +0.019 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.19 | 12.20 | +0.009 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 406, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 98 on actions (build 20, buy 59, partner 20). 72 carried over.
- PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.04 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education20 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.96 | +1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.95 | +1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.79 | +1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.49 | +1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.39 | +1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.37 | +1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |