Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.162 to 11.97.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.97 (−0.162)
- In: 12.13
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 86
- In: 68
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.54 | 9.37 | −0.169 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.64 | −0.166 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.50 | 9.52 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.86 | 14.33 | +0.467 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.51 | 12.37 | −0.143 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.11 | 11.92 | −0.195 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.18 | 12.64 | −0.538 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.46 | 12.04 | −0.415 | 6 → 7 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.20 | 11.89 | −0.312 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 409, plus 68 carried in. Maintenance 289. Spent 102 on actions (build 41, buy 20, partner 41). 86 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence20 credits for 0.48 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education20 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −16.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.28 | +1.40 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.00 | +1.10 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.93 | +1.02 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.92 | +1.01 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | +0.01 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |