Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.006 to 11.96.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.96 (−0.006)
- In: 11.97
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 90
- In: 82
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.37 | 9.20 | −0.173 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.64 | 13.57 | −0.069 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.52 | 9.53 | +0.016 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.33 | 14.52 | +0.185 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.37 | 12.35 | −0.021 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.92 | 11.80 | −0.118 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.64 | 12.55 | −0.085 | 10 → 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.04 | 12.11 | +0.068 | 7 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.89 | 12.03 | +0.145 | 7 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 394, plus 82 carried in. Maintenance 283. Spent 102 on actions (buy 21, partner 82). 90 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.83 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −29.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 7 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.59 | +1.74 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.80 | +0.97 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.75 | +0.94 | 0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.65 | +0.84 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.60 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.58 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |