Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.099 to 11.67.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.67 (−0.099)
- In: 11.77
- Rank by index
- 31
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 49
- In: 26
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.95 | 8.72 | −0.229 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.71 | −0.092 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.44 | 9.45 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.40 | 12.73 | +0.331 | 6 → 4 |
| Information & Influence | 11.86 | 11.80 | −0.064 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.11 | 11.97 | −0.145 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 12.91 | −0.217 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.04 | 11.82 | −0.219 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.18 | 11.91 | −0.266 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 396, plus 26 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 97 on actions (build 58, buy 19, partner 19). 49 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts
- BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −36.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.95 | +1.07 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.90 | +1.15 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.89 | +1.03 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.84 | +1.04 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.80 | +1.06 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | 0.00 |