Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.070 to 11.60.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.60 (−0.070)
- In: 11.67
- Rank by index
- 31
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 18
- In: 47
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.72 | 8.49 | −0.230 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.71 | 13.62 | −0.092 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.45 | 9.48 | +0.033 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.73 | 13.06 | +0.329 | 4 → 3 |
| Information & Influence | 11.80 | 11.75 | −0.049 | 5 → 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.97 | 11.82 | −0.145 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.91 | 12.66 | −0.245 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.82 | 11.86 | +0.041 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.91 | 11.64 | −0.276 | 7 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 342, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 272. Spent 99 on actions (build 59, buy 20, partner 20). 18 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence20 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence20 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills20 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling20 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −12.3 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.69 | +1.89 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.28 | +1.40 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.25 | +1.51 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.13 | +1.39 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.84 | +1.04 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | 0.00 |