Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.092 to 11.51.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.51 (−0.092)
- In: 11.60
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 9
- In: 17
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.49 | 8.47 | −0.022 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.62 | 13.52 | −0.098 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.48 | 9.50 | +0.021 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.06 | 13.43 | +0.365 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 11.75 | 11.51 | −0.240 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.82 | 11.68 | −0.146 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.66 | 12.47 | −0.193 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.86 | 11.63 | −0.233 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.64 | 11.35 | −0.285 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 335, plus 17 carried in. Maintenance 268. Spent 75 on actions (build 41, buy 17, partner 17). 9 carried over.
- BuildArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 0.88 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by -1 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies17 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education17 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −12.3 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.57 | +1.77 | 0.00 | −0.21 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.28 | +1.40 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.25 | +1.51 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.23 | +1.49 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.41 | 0.00 |