Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.157 to 11.84.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.84 (+0.158)
- In: 11.68
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 66
- In: 34
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.86 | 8.91 | +0.059 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.56 | 13.60 | +0.037 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.52 | 9.51 | −0.007 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.89 | 14.20 | +0.310 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.79 | 11.96 | +0.175 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.73 | 11.79 | +0.053 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.60 | 12.75 | +0.153 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.67 | 12.02 | +0.348 | 8 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.52 | 11.81 | +0.288 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 397, plus 34 carried in. Maintenance 271. Spent 94 on actions (buy 19, partner 75). 66 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.93 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.68 | +1.62 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.95 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.91 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.85 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.82 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.77 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |