Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.174 to 12.02.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.02 (+0.174)
- In: 11.84
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 100
- In: 63
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.91 | 9.16 | +0.244 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.60 | 13.65 | +0.047 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.51 | 9.51 | −0.003 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.20 | 14.53 | +0.330 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.96 | 12.15 | +0.185 | 6 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.79 | 11.84 | +0.054 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.75 | 12.86 | +0.105 | 10 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.02 | 12.15 | +0.135 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.81 | 12.28 | +0.468 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 414, plus 63 carried in. Maintenance 278. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 60, partner 20). 100 carried over.
- BuyExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.09 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by -5 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.97 | +1.79 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.15 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.13 | +1.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.04 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | −0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.95 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.90 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.86 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.01 |