Round 19 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.081 to 13.28.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.28 (+0.081)
In: 13.20
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
142
In: 156
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.8112.03+0.2184
Strategic Infrastructure14.0014.10+0.1013
National Security9.669.71+0.0495
Human Capital15.7715.82+0.0491
Information & Influence13.7113.73+0.0212
Governance & Integrity11.8511.85+0.0049
Financial Strength13.6213.63+0.0048
Production & Innovation12.8513.02+0.1663 → 2
Trade & Investment15.5215.64+0.1161

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 467, plus 156 carried in. Maintenance 364. Spent 117 on actions (build 23, buy 47, partner 47). 142 carried over.

  • BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence23 credits for 1.03 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by -3 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies23 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position23 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity23 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.35+1.340.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.09+1.070.000.00+0.02
Global Value Chain Position+0.77+0.770.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.68+0.680.000.00+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.66+0.650.000.00+0.01
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.26+0.260.000.000.00