Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.099 to 13.20.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.20 (+0.099)
- In: 13.10
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 165
- In: 162
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.31 | 11.81 | +0.500 | 5 → 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.91 | 14.00 | +0.094 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.63 | 9.66 | +0.028 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.71 | 15.77 | +0.067 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.56 | 13.71 | +0.145 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.84 | 11.85 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.61 | 13.62 | +0.014 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.83 | 12.85 | +0.019 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.50 | 15.52 | +0.019 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 467, plus 162 carried in. Maintenance 350. Spent 115 on actions (build 23, buy 92). 165 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence23 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.66 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.60 | +1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.53 | +1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.72 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.66 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.43 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |