Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.132 to 12.09.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.09 (+0.132)
- In: 11.96
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 65
- In: 47
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.01 | 9.44 | +0.427 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.80 | 0.000 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.48 | 9.48 | +0.001 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.41 | 14.08 | +0.676 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.21 | 12.21 | +0.001 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.11 | 12.11 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 13.19 | +0.063 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.30 | 12.31 | +0.011 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.18 | 12.19 | +0.006 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 396, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 281. Spent 97 on actions (build 39, buy 58). 65 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by -6 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.98 | +1.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.93 | +1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.67 | +1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.49 | +1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.40 | +1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.03 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |