Round 6 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.113 to 12.20.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.20 (+0.113)
In: 12.09
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
77
In: 62
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.449.45+0.0136
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.80+0.0013
National Security9.489.48+0.0025
Human Capital14.0814.60+0.5182 → 1
Information & Influence12.2112.31+0.1025
Governance & Integrity12.1112.12+0.0019
Financial Strength13.1913.30+0.1139
Production & Innovation12.3112.32+0.0186
Trade & Investment12.1912.43+0.2457

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 401, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 287. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 59). 77 carried over.

  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & AI Competence+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.10+1.100.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.03+1.030.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.77+0.760.000.00+0.01