Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 12.51.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.51 (+0.127)
- In: 12.38
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 109
- In: 89
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.48 | 9.84 | +0.362 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.81 | 13.83 | +0.018 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.49 | 9.50 | +0.014 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.89 | 15.11 | +0.224 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.86 | 13.11 | +0.254 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.12 | +0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.41 | 13.42 | +0.007 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.58 | 12.60 | +0.021 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.79 | 13.04 | +0.243 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 422, plus 89 carried in. Maintenance 299. Spent 103 on actions (build 41, buy 41, partner 21). 109 carried over.
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by -1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.79 | +1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.67 | +1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.95 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.83 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.62 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |