Round 7 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.178 to 12.38.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.38 (+0.178)
In: 12.20
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
94
In: 73
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.459.48+0.0286
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.81+0.0073
National Security9.489.49+0.0055
Human Capital14.6014.89+0.2861
Information & Influence12.3112.86+0.5445
Governance & Integrity12.1212.12+0.0029
Financial Strength13.3013.41+0.1119
Production & Innovation12.3212.58+0.2586 → 5
Trade & Investment12.4312.79+0.3637 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 412, plus 73 carried in. Maintenance 291. Spent 100 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 94 carried over.

  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.67 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by -1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.28+2.240.000.00+0.04
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.69+1.670.000.00+0.02
Digital & AI Competence+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.95+0.940.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.82+0.810.000.00+0.02