Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.189 to 12.89.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.89 (+0.189)
- In: 12.71
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 112
- In: 105
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.10 | 10.37 | +0.268 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.89 | 13.98 | +0.086 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.54 | 9.61 | +0.067 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.58 | 15.84 | +0.254 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.14 | 13.33 | +0.190 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.19 | +0.063 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.50 | 13.60 | +0.097 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.69 | 12.94 | +0.255 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.78 | 14.20 | +0.421 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 430, plus 105 carried in. Maintenance 318. Spent 106 on actions (buy 42, partner 64). 112 carried over.
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.73 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by -5 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade21 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +12.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.62 | +1.51 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.16 | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Education | +1.04 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.94 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.91 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.04 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |