Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.213 to 13.11.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.11 (+0.213)
- In: 12.89
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 132
- In: 106
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.37 | 10.64 | +0.275 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.98 | 14.06 | +0.084 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.61 | 9.68 | +0.070 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.84 | 16.07 | +0.231 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.33 | 13.53 | +0.193 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.19 | 12.25 | +0.064 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.60 | 13.66 | +0.058 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.94 | 13.27 | +0.327 | 4 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.20 | 14.82 | +0.621 | 5 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 462, plus 106 carried in. Maintenance 328. Spent 108 on actions (build 22, buy 43, partner 43). 132 carried over.
- BuildGlobal Value Chain Position22 credits for 1.27 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by -1 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems22 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +4.0 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.85 | +1.71 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.03 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.70 | +1.56 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.08 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.67 | +1.61 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.91 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.04 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.83 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |