Round 14 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.117 to 13.43.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.43 (+0.116)
In: 13.31
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
92
In: 123
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2711.31+0.0365
Strategic Infrastructure14.1414.17+0.0263
National Security9.759.77+0.0185
Human Capital16.3616.43+0.0771
Information & Influence13.5914.02+0.4313
Governance & Integrity12.3112.35+0.0349
Financial Strength13.7013.78+0.0788
Production & Innovation13.3713.58+0.2063
Trade & Investment15.3315.47+0.1451

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 454, plus 123 carried in. Maintenance 368. Spent 116 on actions (build 23, buy 47, partner 47). 92 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.77 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by -1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance23 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity23 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication23 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls23 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.65+1.630.000.00+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+1.17+1.090.000.00+0.08
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.40+0.380.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.29+0.230.000.00+0.06