Round 15 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 13.55.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.55 (+0.116)
In: 13.43
Rank by index
21
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
70
In: 88
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.3111.66+0.3475 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure14.1714.19+0.0273
National Security9.779.78+0.0155
Human Capital16.4316.47+0.0331
Information & Influence14.0214.18+0.1603
Governance & Integrity12.3512.38+0.0359
Financial Strength13.7813.94+0.1598 → 7
Production & Innovation13.5813.63+0.0503 → 2
Trade & Investment15.4715.69+0.2181

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 469, plus 88 carried in. Maintenance 374. Spent 114 on actions (build 23, buy 45, partner 45). 70 carried over.

  • BuildInvestment Attraction & Projection23 credits for 1.09 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -3 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies23 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence23 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.65+1.620.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.40+1.390.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.91+0.750.000.00+0.16
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.83+0.790.000.00+0.04
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.57+0.540.000.00+0.03